How to make money in today's real estate market?
You all sent me several hundred questions recently and many of your questions focus on making money in today's market in real estate. Is there a way to make money? If so how do you do it? What do I suggest?
Some of you asked me specifics, such as what you should do with condos you own but can't sell. Or properties you are rehabbing and which you see no market for.
Let's explore how you make money or don't make money in today's market.
And right now, register for Monday's call at 8:00PM Eastern with Chad and me as we discuss money-making secrets in today's market, how to stop foreclosure if and get your lender to lower payments without refinancing, buying properties with little or no money down and no credit or bad credit, slashing credit card debts while improving your credit, and more…Click here to register for this important free phone call and access to my exclusive insider emails with info that I do not publish on the blog.
You'll also get access to the home trial of Mortgage Relief Formula when it becomes available Monday night after the call.
Strategies that work in real estate tend to be long term because real estate is a long term investment.
Why real estate is not so local
Contrast this to the stock market which is so liquid. You can instantly buy and sell and there are tons of companies such as quants and hedge funds that constantly analyze the market and try to discover even the tiniest ways to make money. They then focus on these tiny money-making ways until more folks discover them and at that point the profit disappears so they look for something else.
Real estate is not very liquid. It prices itself community by community so it is highly local. And each property is different, unlike shares of stock, say, in a given company that are the same.
That said, real estate money-making strategies change over time because they are highly responsive to long term trends in the credit markets. If you try to buy and flip today, you will end up very sorry indeed. If you try to buy and hold today, you will end up sorry also, most likely, because the market is heading down and may head down for several years.
I bought my first house to live in in 1987. It doubled by 1990. And it fell to less than what we paid for it by 1994. That was Southern California real estate for you. Then the market crashed only in Southern California and parts of Texas. Now the same issues are unfolding nationwide and I think will engulf the United Kingdom, Spain and Australia as well as other parts of Europe.
And the reason for real estate falling all over, if real estate is really so local? It's simple.
As credit becomes harder to get, prices will fall
When people buy real estate they do so using credit. Easy credit increases real estate prices. Difficult credit causes prices to drop. It really is that simple. Now we are in for some tough times ahead, with credit being hard to get. In the "old days", like in 1987 when I bought my first house, 20% or 25% down payments were the norm. And you had to have really good credit to buy a house. Credit got ridiculous after 2001 because the Federal Reserve tried to stop the economy from deflating after the stock market crash in 2000. They wanted to pump the economy up.
And are you already registered for Monday's call at 8:00PM Eastern? Listen to Chad and I talk about how to make money in today's tough market, how to sell a property that you own so that you're in settlement nine days from today, how to avoid foreclosure, how to do deed in lieu of foreclosure, how to negotiate with your credit card companies to get lower interest rates even when they say "no" at first…Click here to register for this important free phone call and access to my exclusive insider emails with info that I do not publish on the blog.
Today's credit is easy or hard to get based upon things like what the central banks are doing and what big investors in the Middle East and China are doing. It was easy to see a year or two ago that the subprime loans would get people into trouble. It is easy to see today that there are a lot more storm clouds on the horizon with regard to credit. So as credit becomes harder to get, real estate prices will fall.
As real estate prices fall, people will let their houses go because they never had a lot of equity to begin with. In 1987, when I bought my house, everyone had significant equity. Now, most people have either purchased recently with little down or refinanced all their equity out. So fewer people have equity than ever before.
As equity is smaller, more people will walk away or lose their houses in foreclosure than ever before
So let's look at the long term value of residential real estate:

And even though homeowners become richer from their real estate going up in value, as they borrowed more, their debt increased and their equity actually fell:

And this is why today's real estate prices are falling and will fall for awhile longer. Today's homeowners have much less equity and when people's equity falls to nothing or becomes negative, there is little to keep them paying their mortgage. They prefer to walk away.
So back to the original topic, how do you make money today? Long term buy and hold is inappropriate when prices are falling unless you can buy in your area and rent out with a positive cash flow.
What's wrong with buying a property and renting it out
So one way to make money is to buy with little or no money down and rent out your properties and hold. The difficulty with this is that rents have to be going up, not down. Although inflation is much higher than it seems, rents are subject to immediate supply-and-demand factors and if a lot of folks can't sell their condos and houses, they will try to rent them out. So the rents can actually fall for awhile. You can insulate yourself somewhat by doing long term leases and getting quality tenants, but this only goes so far.
Nevertheless, in some areas you could end up with a lot of properties and a little dribble of cash flow and eventually, inflation rescues you, and you make a lot of money when you sell the properties.
I wouldn't do this now. I think the market is still too treacherous. I notice a lot of people still trying to get rich in real estate. Sentiment is still too good.
It's when everyone throws in the towel and "everyone" believes real estate is a total loser — that's the time to start scooping up properties and renting them out and holding on. Right now I think is too early.
So that leaves another way to make money and this is the way I would do it.
How to use options and subject-to financing today to make money with little or no risk and no qualifying
That is to use today's market to lock up properties through options and then market them. It is still possible to sell a house today even in areas with "no buyers". The prices have to be right. The marketing has to be good. You can be very selective as to what you put your energies in, and focus on using the method of sell your house in nine days.
It doesn't pay to buy and hold when prices are falling. And it's hard to call the bottom. So I recommend you take the low risk or no risk strategies of making money through options, buying with no money down no qualifying and no credit, and take your time sorting through deals. Only do the extraordinary deals that are real giveaways and don't get too wrapped up in one property or one deal. If you do, you will lose a lot. If you are careful and cherry-pick, using options and subject-to financing, you can do extremely well in today's market.
Okay, now, it's time that you register for Monday's call at 8:00PM Eastern, if you are not already registered.
Listen to Chad and I as we discuss how to make money in today's market, how to sell a property that you own using a specific system to sell your house in nine days without fix-up, how to stop foreclosure and get lower payments from your mortgage lender without getting new loans, how deed in lieu of foreclosure works and some practical tips for doing one yourself, how to get your credit card companies to slash your interest rates and even principal balances without bankruptcy and while improving your credit .Click here to register for this important free phone call and access to my exclusive insider emails with info that I do not publish on the blog.
9 Comments on How to make money in today's real estate market? »
Charles Graham @ 11:57 pm:
Looking forward to the call
elgin walker @ 1:14 am:
There are parts of this I agree with, but being a Realtor for 20 years I still think there is no better investment, but as most investments, the deal is made GOING INTO the investment, NOT COMING OUT. You must buy correct from the start, and correc is based upon your individual goals either long or short term.
Tarry @ 11:56 am:
Do you have a good options or subject- to course you can recommend?
AMOS ANDRE @ 12:47 pm:
please let me know what number i have to call for the conference call tonigt or if you guys will call me at DELETED
Lee @ 1:34 pm:
As a 19-year veteran of the credit industry, I also agree with most of this. And, I also agree with Elgin. Real estate has always proven to be a great investment… and even when you make mistakes… you're eventually rewarded.
However, the current economic woes are NOT 100% attributed to subprime lending.
Wall Street has allowed (and even asked for) more aggressive lending programs.
Congress helped create this "perfect storm", by allowing the credit reporting agencies to create hundreds of different credit scoring model variations. With hundreds of score variations: Wall Street, other investment funds, banks, mortgage lenders & borrowers have all been affected by not being able to fully understand what level of risk is actually acceptable… and in some cases even allowed fraud to be perpetuated upon investors (from major mortgage lenders who wanted to approve more loans using faulty scoring criteria…. at the risk of this collapse). The almighty dollar & all these scoring models helped create this… and Congress should've seen this coming a long time ago.
Yes, while subprime borrowers are defaulting at higher rates than they were 2-3 years ago… defaults from PRIME borrowers have exploded even more so.
Lastly, Congress should force all loan applicants to qualify at the highest reset rate… if they want to enter into an ARM (adjustable rate mortgage). Instead, currently… borrowers only have to qualify for the "start rate". Almost anyone can qualify at 1%-5% "start rates", but can they qualify at the reset rates… every step of the way. Usually not!
Congress can keep this from happening ever again by eliminating all but one scoring model & creating the new ARM qualifying standards.
And to anyone that says more than one scoring model is needed for different types of lenders (if anyone objects), look at it like this: on a scale of 350-850… different types of lenders (mortgage, auto, credit cards, etc.) can simply adjust their lending standards (up or down the numerical scale) until they've reached numbers they're comfortable with.
The credit reporting agencies simply started "selling" creditors on the myth that each of them needed customized scoring criteria… all in an effort to generate more income, create mass confusion… which keeps Wall Street & other investors from being able to accurately predict what levels of risk they're willing to accept & how to price these risks.
Okay… stepping down off my soapbox now. I'm looking forward to seeing more from Richard on this topic too.
Have a great week!
Lee
admin @ 2:00 pm:
Hi Lee, very good analysis. I have never heard this point of view, that credit scoring methodologies has a lot to do with the problem.
I think that congress and the administration made housing loans very easy to get through an ultra easy money policy
Government policy made it easy for banks to lend to people who lacked equity. It was done on purpose. As you also observe, credit policy drives real estate prices.
Credit is not going to easy to get anytime soon.
The 20% down loan will once again become the norm.
That's why I recommend people get into a discussion with their lender and figure on either a loan modification or a short sale if needed, rather than continuing to pay a crushing mortgage payment (or two of them) that they cannot afford, on a house that they really don't own because they have no equity.
admin @ 2:02 pm:
Terry, regarding a good "buy houses subject-to" nobody does it like Mark Neal. I am biased because I helped Mark develop that course. I am going to have Mark on a very informative live conference call on December 20 open to purchasers of Mortgage Relief Formula. He will talk about how to buy with no credit and no money and how to make money doing it. He certainly has the track record and I love Mark's down home style. He is humble unlike many of those gurus out there but he really is gaining a wider following and you will hear why, hopefully, if you are on that call.
Trish Pearce @ 11:02 am:
As I have been out of town for a couple of weeks, I missed the call. Is there any way of getting the information? I am very interested in hearing.
Thanks,
Trish
aldo berardi @ 10:05 pm:
i have another thoery on the market as for the reasons that have a great effect to the way the credit scoring is so hard and what is atributed to the reason the analasys is off and that is the cost of living is so high and the labor rates are so low with the acts of local gvt raising taxes to the limmit and when all production went over seas the jobs are getting scarce as well as being unbelievably low income so with the cost of living and taxes kill you when your pay doesn't even cover the bills,your credit rate will fall as it is due to these areas the apeals to the concept of you can't get credit if you can't afford it. and if you can't afford it you can't get it.